BWS Issue Gale Warning For Saturday
The Bermuda Weather Service has issued a Gale Warning for Saturday, and their current forecast states, “winds strengthen later on Friday as a vigorous, complex frontal system approaches and brings quite active weather this weekend. Gusty gales may reach storm force in some elevated and exposed locations, and showers may be quite heavy at times, especially when associated with any robust thunderstorms passing nearby.”
In forecast discussion, the BWS said, “Although Friday begins fair, as we enter a more moist southerly flow, convergent lines bubble up and the chance of showers increases later in the day. To our west a complex low rapidly intensifies in a longitudinal orientation and all global models indicate the sharpening of the trough. This keeps a more S through SSW direction to the flow as winds become strong through Friday night. We will have to wait and see where the convergence lines form before having higher confidence in the precipitation forecast for Friday, thus for now there is only the chance of showers mentioned. The deep, sharp and complex frontal system will continue to intensify as it slowly nears. All models indicate significant vertical extend with impressive indices and much evidence that we could experience excessive rainfall in the form of both dynamic and convective precipitation. Thus, the forecast calls for periods of rain and showers with possible thunderstorms.
“Continuing on from the 20-30 knot winds during Friday night, as the front nears expect [near] gales to gust to storm force around 50 knots, possibly higher in elevated and exposed areas, as the boundary layer winds have remained in the 40-60 knot range during the peak of the frontal passage on Saturday morning.
“Small craft warning is in effect Friday afternoon through Friday night, then is upgraded to a Gale warning for Saturday. Depending on the evolution of this low it may extend into Saturday night, otherwise a small craft warning will carry on. A thunderstorm advisory is likely Saturday and conditions will be closely monitored.”
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