AXIS Wildfire Loss Estimates: $125-$150 Million

December 20, 2018

AXIS Capital Holdings announced a preliminary pre-tax loss estimate for California wildfires in the range of $125 million to $150 million, net of estimated recoveries from reinsurance and retrocessional covers and including the impact of estimated reinstatement premiums.

“The estimate includes losses from aggregate excess of loss reinsurance treaties that were also impacted by losses from other 2018 catastrophe and weather-related events. The Company’s loss estimate is consistent with industry insured losses of up to $20 billion,” the company said.

“The Company’s preliminary pre-tax loss estimate for Hurricane Michael is currently at the upper end of the previously disclosed range of $100 million to $120 million.

“The Company’s loss estimate is based on its ground-up assessment of losses from individual contracts and treaties exposed to the affected regions, including preliminary information from clients, brokers and loss adjusters. Industry insured loss estimates, market share analyses and catastrophe modeling analyses were also taken into account where appropriate.

“Due to the nature of this event, including the complexity of loss assessment, factors contributing to the losses and the preliminary nature of the information available to prepare this estimate, the actual net ultimate amount of losses for this event may be materially different from this current estimate.”

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