BWS: Disturbance Developing To Our East

May 19, 2021

The Bermuda Weather Service [BWS] is “closely monitoring” a disturbance located to our east, noting that there is a possibility of a “tropical or subtropical depression forming in the next few days in our vicinity.”

A spokesperson said, “Duty staff at the Bermuda Weather Service just had a call with the US National Hurricane Center [NHC], having noted that there is a gradually increasing likelihood of a tropical or subtropical depression forming in the next few days in our vicinity; see the 5-day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook here.

Graphic courtesy of the NHC:

two_atl_5d0

“The status of the disturbance currently developing a few hundred miles to our east is marginal at most, with the potential for tropical storm force winds [34+ knots] being fairly low.

“Given the close proximity of this system, and the uncertainty generally inherent in tropical developments, BWS will continue to closely monitor this disturbance; we have scheduled calls to confer with NHC over the coming days. If the predictions change appreciably from the current forecast, the appropriate bulletins, watches or warnings will be posted.

“As of the time of this writing, 4:30PM Wednesday 19 May, please take note of the Small Craft Warning already in place. The Marine Forecast for Friday 21 May calls for 20 to 30 knots during the day, and gale force gusts are possible, with seas up to 12 feet outside the reef.”

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