Hurricane A Threat, Hurricane Watch Issued

October 2, 2015

[Updated] Hurricane Joaquin — which is a category 4 — is a “potential threat” to Bermuda, the Bermuda Weather Service said, with its closest point of approach to Bermuda within 72 hrs is forecast to be 252 nautical miles to the west north west at 8.00pm on Sunday, October 4.

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The U.S. National Hurricane Center said, “At 800 AM EDT [1200 UTC], the center of Hurricane Joaquin was located near latitude 23.4 North, longitude 74.8 West. Joaquin is drifting toward the northwest near 3 mph [6 km/h].

“A faster northward motion is expected to begin later today, followed by a turn toward the northeast and an increase in forward speed tonight and Saturday.

“On the forecast track, the core of the strongest winds of Joaquin will continue moving over portions of the central and northwestern Bahamas today. Joaquin will begin to move away from the Bahamas tonight and Saturday.

“Maximum sustained winds are near 130 mph [215 km/h] with higher gusts. Joaquin is a dangerous category 4 hurricane on the Saffir- Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Some fluctuations in intensity are possible during the next 24 hours. Slow weakening is expected to begin on Saturday.

“Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 50 miles [85 km] from the center and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 205 miles [335 km].”

Update 12.34pm: The latest update from the BWS, at 12 noon, continues to day the hurricane remains a “potential threat” to us, and its closest point of approach to Bermuda within 72 hrs is forecast to be 193 nautical miles to the west north west at 10.00pm on Sunday October 4th.

Update 6.40pm: The BWS has changed the status from “potential threat” to “threat” and also issued a Tropical Storm Watch.

Update 7.10am: The BWS issued a hurricane watch

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Comments (27)

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  1. JAWS says:

    This hurricane is getting closer and closer. I have a friend overseas who’s employed at a weather station and based on their models, Bermuda is looking more like Monday morning.

    • sonso says:

      This system is forecast to

      move slowly eastward with a non-tropical low forming along the

      front during the next couple of days. While this occurs, a mid- to

      upper-level low currently centered near 30n 64w should move

      west-northwestward to the north of Joaquin. These developments

      should steer Joaquin northward for the next few hours, followed by

      a turn toward the northeast. The track guidance is now in good

      agreement that Joaquin will move generally northeastward between

      the United States and Bermuda, with a short-lived northward turn in

      the 48-72 hour period. Eventually, the cyclone is expected to

      move into the westerlies and move quickly east-northeastward across

      the North Atlantic. The new forecast track is similar to the

      previous forecast and now lies near the consensus models.

  2. somuchless says:

    Run forest, run

    • timewilltell says:

      I don’t think many people will find you humorous at all. Giving the facts the devastation it leaves behinds for many family and communities

  3. Truth is killin' me... says:

    We are looking for volunteers to assemble at Dockyard on Sunday at 8.00pm to help steer this one out to sea. A strong set of lungs and a lot of hot air need only apply. Refreshments will be served.

  4. raskarr says:

    Hit us…please! I want school to be cancelled!

    • mdb says:

      Then skip school. obviously you have no idea how much stress and devastation this causes families

    • raskarr says:

      Lol…Only trolling. Tried to see how many dislikes I could get- 54 and counting!

  5. Yamon says:

    Quo fata ferunt!

  6. somuchless says:

    Government workers will call out sick. Wait all this is on Sunday. Well they’ll call out sick Monday lol

    • Grizz says:

      @somuchless Really? Stop stereotyping. I use to be a Government worker; a hard working one at that! I hope Joaquin blows a wind up ya a– so you can shut up with ya stupid talk!

    • hardworking civil servant says:

      Your comment is so dumb and adds no value to the story about a possible hurricane that could affect us. Chances are you are on financial assistance and you rely on the same people you criticize to get a monthly allowance.Get a job fool.

    • TonyC says:

      Does that include the ones who go out immediately after the storm has passed to make sure that the danger has passed to make sure that YOU will be safe? Think before you blog your inane drivel.

    • drunken ursula says:

      Yeah just like all the OBA members…..out sick cause you never hear from them…COLE SIMONS…

  7. Just a matter of time says:

    @somuchless. Such a hateful comment. Guess the police, fire, regiment and the countless of other Government workers, including Public Works who help cut away fallen trees, helping with flooded homes, damaged roofs, handing out free tarpaulins etc just all stay at home in masse after a hurricane hits huh? These folks are workimg around the clock to keep our island safe before, during and after a storm strikes. When you wake up in the morning after a storm much of the debris on the major roads have already been cleared away. I have always been grateful for those who worked hard while I slept during the night of a storm. Who do you think is a part of doing all of those things that your priviledged self takes for granted? Most are Governemnt workers! I agree with the comments against you. Think before you speak.

  8. somuchless says:

    People grow up and have a sense of humor. Obviously I’m not speaking about the police, etc. think before you talk. And no I’m not on financial assistance. I work 6 to 7 days a week.

  9. timewilltell says:

    My Bermuda people’s and family be safe and prayers are definitely in order for all of you while you all buckle down and hope and pray for the best through this natural disaster of a hurricane. May God cover the island with his blood !!!!!!
    Bless

  10. Peggy Burns says:

    AND THE INNOCENT SHALL SUFFER FOR THE GUILTY!

    Could All These Hurricanes Be The Breath of My Ancestors?

    It is a longstanding myth among Africans that hurricanes are a curse for slavery! They do generate off the African coast (just like the African dust which blows to Bermuda http://www.sciencecodex.com/african_dust_forms_red_soils_in_bermuda-118452; http://www.livescience.com/23320-bermuda-red-soil-source-found.html) and sweeps through much of the Middle Passage (the Caribbean & Southern US).

    “Breath of My Ancestors”
    (The Hurricane)
    There’s this truth must be told
    its force can’t be contained
    About the history and the mystery
    in the rage of hurricanes
    For you must know the reasons
    why the gale force winds do blow
    And disburse their vicious vengeance
    on southeastern States below
    See the bodies of my people
    through the Middle Passage came
    As cargo in slave ships
    so a beast could lay quitclaim
    And their limbs were battered and broken
    by a heathen with no shame
    Who stole us from our homes
    then promptly changed our names
    Now the laws of cause and effect
    so appropriately germane
    Come collecting unpaid taxes
    in the form of hurricanes
    You thought our spirits were beaten
    you thought our spirits were tamed
    But instead of us defeatin’
    God’s temper you inflamed
    Now retribution comes to visit
    on the winds of hurricanes
    Storm clouds gather over Africa
    full of slavery’s suffering and pain
    They marshal their momentum
    full of vengeful hard black rain
    Dead-set upon America
    as if possessed, insane
    Since all those cries for mercy
    fell on deaf ears in vain
    You must feel the wrath
    and the fury of hurricanes
    For the girls you stole from Senegal
    and the boys from the Ivory Coast
    The spirit of their ancestors
    haunt Carolinians most
    Cause of all the slave-ship harbors
    in the many ports of call
    Yours were the most insidious
    the evilest of them all
    And for all you island dwellers
    to whom this verse pertains
    Your shores made shelter for sellers
    of human beings in chains
    Thus the Breath of My Ancestors
    forge a spiritual weather vane
    That plots a course of sorrow
    via the gale of hurricanes
    In cargo holes
    you laid 80 million souls
    Like spoons in kitchen cabinets
    But now the winds blow down
    your trailer towns
    Leaving tents to pitch and maggots.
    And the law of just requital
    extracting its just do
    Says you must pay
    for the games you play
    Virginia and Florida too
    So, if the next gale wind you hear
    evokes real fear
    And the terror seems inhumane
    It’s just the Breath of My Ancestors
    in the spirit of the hurricane.

    Copyright Ty Gray-EL September 2000

    • Zevon says:

      No. Hurricanes are just storms, like any other. They are nothing at all to do with your ancestors, my ancestors, or anyone else’s.
      Keep your stupid racist ideas to yourself, you racist.

    • Toodle-oo says:

      My god , woman . You must lead one awfully miserable and tormented life .
      Maybe your perception of whites would improve if you tried to make yourself a little more approachable than a porcupine in full tilt defense mode.

  11. Just a matter of time says:

    My my. Even the posting of prose is threatening so called ‘racist’ behavior now?. Why the sharp responses?? @Zevon By the way a person of colour can never be a racist. I suggest you research that concept before being so quick to accuse. The reaction is similar to her so called controversial sign sometime back which rings true by the way, I challenge anyone to refute the meaning behind it. Naysayers once again miss the point of her messaging and prefer to pounce with their claws out without seeking to understand. If anything most whites would do well to make the effort to understand the underlying sensibilities of Black oppression and that would certainly help in attempts at some racial harmony. Some. I understand where she is coming from and I suggest that her expressions come from a liberation of a knowledge of self and her surroundings. Not misery. Too deep for some I know and when certain truths get too deep it becomes threatening. The stifling of racial dialogue in Bermuda and our typical head in the sand approach to it will only worsen situations if it is not dealt with. @Toodle-oo. That’s the approach that is needed. If eyes were opened and there was a better understanding you wouldn’t see porcupine thorns at all.