Looking Beyond The 24-12 At Votes & Numbers

July 25, 2017

[Written by Don Burgess]

The PLP’s defeat of the OBA goes beyond the fact that they won 24 of the 36 Parliamentary seats, and nearly 60 per cent of the vote.

In the 2012 election, if 34 voters had flipped their votes from the OBA, the PLP would have been elected. This time the OBA would have had to flip 742 votes in order to have retained power.

Here are the seven ‘closest’ constituencies they lost:

  • 28 Warwick West: PLP [Dennis Lister III] won by 12 votes
  • 11 Devonshire East: PLP [Christopher Famous] won by 94 votes
  • 14 Devonshire North West: PLP [Wayne Caines] won by 185 votes
  • 4 St. George’s South: PLP [Tinee Furbert] won by 223 votes
  • 1 St. George’s North: PLP [Renee Ming] won by 225 votes
  • 17 Pembroke Central: PLP [Walton Brown] won by 257 votes
  • 36 Sandys South: PLP [Michael Scott] won by 280 votes

Just as telling is now what 10 seats are the most marginal:

  • 28 Warwick West: PLP [Dennis Lister III] won by 12 votes
  • 7 Hamilton South: OBA [Sylvan Richards] won by 21 votes
  • 10 Smith’s North: OBA [Michael Dunkley] won by 43 votes
  • 31 Southampton West Central: OBA [Ben Smith] won by 49 votes
  • 30 Southampton East Central: OBA [Leah Scott] won by 53 votes
  • 25 Warwick North East: OBA [Jeff Baron] won by 65 votes
  • 11 Devonshire East: PLP [Christopher Famous] won by 94 votes
  • 19 Pembroke West: OBA [Jeanne Atherden] won by 123 votes
  • 9 Smith’s West: OBA [Trevor Moniz] won by 135 votes
  • 14 Devonshire North West: PLP [Wayne Caines] won by 183 votes

Besides Warwick West, where Dennis Lister III pulled off a shock upset of Jeff Sousa, eight of the next nine are OBA seats. Just 119 voters changing their minds would have left the OBA only seven seats, but a 249 voter flip – far less than the 742 needed by the OBA to win the election, would have left them with five seats.

click here Bermuda Election 2017

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Comments (16)

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  1. wahoo says:

    The plp’s stellar track record when in government and their clear commitment to transparency, integrity and obvious business sense is what won the election for them.

    • Breathe says:

      You have no concept of “lessons learned”. It’s as if being soundly thrashed and repudiated means everything is wrong with the voters and nothing is wrong with the OBA. What hubris and sheer arrogance. And you wonder why you lost ?

      • wahoo says:

        Wait are you telling me that nothing I said is true about the plp? Well then I stand corrected and “lessons learned” seem not to have applied in their re-election.

    • Green Every Day says:

      When is the OBA changing the name back to UBP?

    • Onion Juice says:

      And lack of that what you have mentioned is what cost O.B.A. de election.

    • Infidelguy says:

      “Stellar track record”?


  2. Cow Polly says:

    And there was so much talk about Pathways to Status giving votes to the OBA. It appears that those people who did receive Status through the loop hole created by the PLP didn’t necessarily vote OBA as was continually suggested.
    Perhaps now the PLP will show some compassion to those persons who have contributed to the island for so long without the security of being able to call their island home.

    • Say Whaat says:

      I definitely think this new and younger PLP will be more than willing to show compassion for their new Bermudian brothers and sisters.

      • bdaboy says:

        “I definitely think this new and younger PLP will be more than willing to show compassion for their new Bermudian brothers and sisters.”

        The same PLP that ran on the platform of removing rights from some Bermudians?
        I’ll wait and see.

    • cpm says:

      Just waiting for the loophole when non Bermudian Tweed gets status

      • SOS says:

        He might as well get it since Fahy got his status and also help the PLP win the election with his status plan. Thanks Fahy

  3. Joe Bloggs says:

    The OBA does not understand the people of Bermuda. The voters want to be sold on ideas, they want to be persuaded that the ideas being promoted by Government are actually a good thing.

    What the OBA demonstrated in the last couple of years was simply announcing what they thought was best for Bermuda and then proceeding with it. Pathways to Status is a good example.

    Even in his departure speech, former Premier Dunkley demonstrated that he did not understand why the OBA fell to a crushing defeat.

    If you want to govern us and be reelected, treat us like adults. Tell us why we should agree with you. Do not treat us like children to be told how to behave.

  4. Gustav says:

    regardless if it is 1 vote or 100
    as long as it is , like it is ,the majority gets it all.
    either the system will be changed or it has to be accepted.

  5. mark says:

    shocking how many numpties live on our island

  6. Bigga says:

    This Election proves that a bermuda silent majority exists, those Bermudians who disliked the OBA Policies but kept quiet amongst peers and the newly registered voters are the voters that made the difference. This in no way discredits the hard work canvassing put in by all the candidates.

  7. Coffee says:

    It’s great to see that the OBA/UBP supporters voted with all of their strenght and might …. So did the PLP’s

    That’s it , that all …. So long , bye , bye ….. Find another name