BWS: Nicole Is “Threat”, Hurricane Watch Issued

October 10, 2016

[Updating] Tropical Storm Nicole is “a threat to Bermuda”, the Bermuda Weather Service said in its latest update today, with its closest point of approach to Bermuda within 72 hrs forecast to be “25 nm of [or directly over] the Island” at 11am on Thursday, October 13th.

The BWS said, “T.S. Nicole is now a threat, forecast to intensify to a hurricane as it passes over the area midweek. Ahead of Nicole’s approach, wet conditions will persist with only a brief respite into tonight for preparations. Expect hazardous conditions including heavy rain, thunderstorms & hurricane force winds.”

Graphic courtesy of the BWS:

Tropical Storm Nicole October 10 2016 11am

The latest forecast from the U.S. National Hurricane Center says, “At 11.00am, the center of Tropical Storm Nicole was located near latitude 25.7 North, longitude 65.2 West.

“Nicole is moving toward the north near 6 mph [9 km/h]. A turn toward the north-northwest is expected by tonight, followed by a turn toward the northwest on Tuesday.

“Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph [95 km/h] with higher gusts. Slow strengthening is expected to begin by tonight, and Nicole is forecast to become a hurricane on Tuesday.”

Graphic courtesy of the NHC:

Tropical Storm Nicole October 10 2016 11am

“Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185 miles [295 km] from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 992 mb [29.30 inches].”

Update 4.49pm: The BWS has issued a Hurricane Watch.

In a special statement, the BWS said: “With only a brief respite tonight allowing for preparations, expect hazardous conditions including heavy rain, thunderstorms & hurricane force winds. Increasing seas and swells build very rough to high with dangerous surf and rip currents affecting Bermuda for the remainder of the week.”

Update 5.38pm: The latest NHC forecast, just issued, said Nicole’s maximum sustained winds remain near 60 mph [95 km/h] with higher gusts.

“Slow strengthening is forecast, and Nicole is expected to reach hurricane strength on Tuesday,” the NHC said, adding that “Hurricane conditions are possible on Bermuda by Wednesday night.”

Update 6.01pm: The latest forecast from the BWS, issued at 6pm, says that Nicole’s closest point of approach to Bermuda within 72 hrs is forecast to be within 25 nm of [or directly over] the Island at 9am on Thursday, October 13th.

Update 6.28pm: Minister of National Security Jeffrey Baron said, “Nicole is a serious threat to Bermuda, and we cannot afford to have complacency with this storm. The Bermuda Weather Service has confirmed that this will be a strong, slow moving Category 1 hurricane and I cannot emphasize enough the critical importance of residents securing their homes and completing their preparations well in advance of this storm.”

The full statement from the Government is here.

click here Bermuda 2016 Hurricane Season

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Comments (11)

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  1. Um.... says:

    Sounds like a nice day off from work listening to the kids fight over any and everything. Can’t wait.

    • Home Grown says:

      Must be talking about the kids that reside with you Bebes Kid!

    • Oh really says:

      Sounds more like everyone is going to the beaches to look at the large waves. This is what we locals always do.

  2. Triangle Drifter says:

    Nicole has been sizing Bermuda up, now is coming in with a left hook. Hold on tight.

    • Time Shall Tell says:

      She better bring her A game because us Bermuda has a history of being a strong counter puncher.

  3. umum says:

    this actually looks pretty serious

  4. Swing Voter says:

    so this jerk of a storm is gonna meander its way west and north to perfectly line up with 22.5 sq miles of land mass in the middle of the atlantic? SMDH

    • Reality says:

      HAARP

    • lieno ming says:

      Nicole if you read this please come to Florida west palm I don’t want to go to school please I’m begging you please do better than your idiotic friend Mathew please.

  5. Terry says:

    Stay safe.

  6. raskarr says:

    I cannot stress this enough. We NEED to prepare for this, and it WILL NOT just be another Karl. Impacts should be far more severe than Joaquin from last year. It appears that not many are taking this seriously, but Nicole could be a historic storm for the island. PREPARE BERMUDA!