Dorian ‘Not A Threat To Bermuda At This Time’

August 26, 2019

Tropical Storm Dorian is “not a threat to Bermuda at this time”, the Bermuda Weather Service has said, with its closest point of approach to Bermuda within 72 hrs forecast to be “809 nm to the SSW, 12 pm Thursday [Aug 29]“. The BWS noted that “this system may move closer to Bermuda after this time period depending upon its track.”

Graphic courtesy of the BWS:

BWS Tropical Storm Dorian Bermuda August 2019

The latest forecast from the U.S. National Hurricane Center said, “At 11.00am AST [1500 UTC], the center of Tropical Storm Dorian was located near latitude 12.3 North, longitude 57.7 West.

“Dorian is moving toward the west-northwest near 14 mph [22 km/h] and this motion is expected to continue through Tuesday night, followed by a turn toward the northwest on Wednesday.

“On the forecast track, the center of Dorian is expected to be near the Windward Islands late today and tonight, and move into the eastern Caribbean Sea on Tuesday. Dorian is expected to pass near or south of Puerto Rico on Wednesday and approach eastern Hispaniola Wednesday night.

Graphic courtesy of the NHC:

NHC Tropical Storm Dorian Bermuda August 2019

“Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph [95 km/h] with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next few days, and Dorian could be near hurricane strength when it passes through the northern Windward Islands on Tuesday, and is expected to be a hurricane when it moves near Puerto Rico and eastern Hispaniola.

“Dorian is a small tropical cyclone. Tropical-storm-force winds only extend outward up to 45 miles [75 km] from the center.

“The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb [29.59 inches].”

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