Pre-General Election Poll Shows PLP In Lead
According to the latest public opinion poll by Global Research, “if an election were held tomorrow the PLP would very likely win a majority of votes.”
A spokesperson said, “A recently concluded Global Research poll shows that the majority of voters approve of the PLP’s performance and leadership, and if an election were held tomorrow the PLP would very likely win a majority of votes.
“Local research company, Global Research, which interviewed a representative sample of 402 registered voters in Bermuda, executed the poll in order to provide insight on voting intentions and political performance. Surveys were collected online and via telephone. All surveys and interviews were carried out between September 9 and 13th, 2020.
If you click on the icons, the map will show the incumbent/candidates in each constituency:
“The results were weighted to be representative of Bermuda’s population on the following factors: gender, age, and race. The margin of error for the study is +/- 4.9% at the 95% confidence level.
“The Key findings of the research were as follows:
- “Voters stated that the biggest issues facing Bermuda today were the economy [49%], unemployment [25%] and education [14%].
- “If an election were held tomorrow, 50% would vote PLP, 17% would vote OBA and 8% would vote for the FDM. 14% were undecided on who they would vote for. 1% stated they would vote for an Independent, 1% stated that they would spoil their ballot, and 8% refused to give a response.
- “54% approved of the PLP’s performance since they were elected, 21% disapproved and 25% were unsure. 76% approved of David Burt’s performance as Premier, compared to 9% who disapproved and 15% who were unsure.
- “12% approved of the OBA’s performance as opposition, 64% disapproved and 24% were unsure. 12% approved of Craig Cannonier’s performance as Opposition Leader, compared to 63% who disapproved and 25% who were unsure.
- “42% approved of the formation of the Free Democratic Movement, compared to 21% who disapproved and 37% who were unsure. 37% approved of Marc Bean as leader of Free Democratic Movement [FDM], compared to 21% who disapproved and 42% who were unsure.
Leslie Steede, Director of Research at Global Research comments on insights revealed from the poll: “On a national level, the results show very strong voter support for the PLP going into the October 1, 2020 election. Party’s that can communicate effective plans for improving the economy, job creation and education will have a chance of increasing voter support during the next few weeks leading up to the election”.
The full Global Research Political Opinions Poll follows below [PDF here]
For comprehensive coverage of the 2020 Bermuda General Election and past elections, you can find more information and statistics on the links below.
- All: Our coverage of the 2020 General Election here
- Candidates: List of the currently confirmed candidates here
- Constituencies: Data/past results of all 36 constituencies
- Timeline: Visual look at the 2020 election timeline here
- Official: The Government’s election website here
- Comprehensive: Our new BermudaElection.com website here
The results of this poll are not surprising. The OBA has not presented itself as a viable alternative and the FDM is a fledgling movement consisting of a few community activists and a charismatic leader. I believe that in time, the FDM may attract more quality candidates to challenge the PLP and the OBA will become a thing of the past.
Oh just STFU! PLP going down! They came a begging for money door to door this week! Running out of dollars after that crazy ad spend!!
You should seek medical assistance now Jetgate is taking you pass the titanic.
Phone polls are fun to play with. The questions tend to be loaded to get the answer they want. After the first one or two questions you know what they want to hear so give them what they want. Also they are supposed to be anonymous – in Bermuda that is impossible. Same as answering census questions.
It’s incredible that so many people can’t see that they’re being led hook line and sinker on these telephone polls by the way the questions are framed.
And don’t even go there about census questions. Biggest lie is the answer to what one’s earnings are.